**Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C minimum in Amsterdam on September 18, reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Latest forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside observations from Schiphol and KNMI-linked stations, show overnight and early-morning lows settling near 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. Daytime highs are expected to reach 17–19°C before temperatures fall again, keeping the daily minimum anchored at that level. Recent 24-hour model runs have shown minimal spread, with most guidance converging on 13–14°C rather than colder or warmer extremes. Historical September averages (around 11–12°C lows) provide context, but current mild conditions and lack of strong cooling mechanisms support the market's positioning. Updated local observations and final model guidance later today will be the key data points for any late shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
13°C 96%
10°C 9%
11°C 3%
8°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
9%
11°C
15%
12°C
30%
13°C
87%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 96%
10°C 9%
11°C 3%
8°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
$26 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$64 Обс.
9%
11°C
$113 Обс.
15%
12°C
$93 Обс.
30%
13°C
$166 Обс.
87%
14°C
$428 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$67 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$62 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$62 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C minimum in Amsterdam on September 18, reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Latest forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside observations from Schiphol and KNMI-linked stations, show overnight and early-morning lows settling near 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. Daytime highs are expected to reach 17–19°C before temperatures fall again, keeping the daily minimum anchored at that level. Recent 24-hour model runs have shown minimal spread, with most guidance converging on 13–14°C rather than colder or warmer extremes. Historical September averages (around 11–12°C lows) provide context, but current mild conditions and lack of strong cooling mechanisms support the market's positioning. Updated local observations and final model guidance later today will be the key data points for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,101Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C minimum in Amsterdam on September 18, reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Latest forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside observations from Schiphol and KNMI-linked stations, show overnight and early-morning lows settling near 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. Daytime highs are expected to reach 17–19°C before temperatures fall again, keeping the daily minimum anchored at that level. Recent 24-hour model runs have shown minimal spread, with most guidance converging on 13–14°C rather than colder or warmer extremes. Historical September averages (around 11–12°C lows) provide context, but current mild conditions and lack of strong cooling mechanisms support the market's positioning. Updated local observations and final model guidance later today will be the key data points for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,101Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C minimum in Amsterdam on September 18, reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Latest forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF, alongside observations from Schiphol and KNMI-linked stations, show overnight and early-morning lows settling near 13°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. Daytime highs are expected to reach 17–19°C before temperatures fall again, keeping the daily minimum anchored at that level. Recent 24-hour model runs have shown minimal spread, with most guidance converging on 13–14°C rather than colder or warmer extremes. Historical September averages (around 11–12°C lows) provide context, but current mild conditions and lack of strong cooling mechanisms support the market's positioning. Updated local observations and final model guidance later today will be the key data points for any late shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання