Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Seattle on September 6, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily high near the long-term average of 72.8°F. This setup favors the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F, as current runs show highs clustering in the low 70s without significant warm advection or marine influence to push readings higher or suppress them. Historical September climatology and the absence of anomalous pressure gradients reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest forecast consensus over earlier seasonal outlooks. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
$144 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$47 Обс.
2%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$25 Обс.
10%
70-71°F
$376 Обс.
27%
72-73°F
$52 Обс.
41%
74-75°F
$49 Обс.
15%
76-77°F
$10 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$129 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
1%
82°F or higher
$90 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Seattle on September 6, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily high near the long-term average of 72.8°F. This setup favors the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F, as current runs show highs clustering in the low 70s without significant warm advection or marine influence to push readings higher or suppress them. Historical September climatology and the absence of anomalous pressure gradients reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest forecast consensus over earlier seasonal outlooks. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$921Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Seattle on September 6, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily high near the long-term average of 72.8°F. This setup favors the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F, as current runs show highs clustering in the low 70s without significant warm advection or marine influence to push readings higher or suppress them. Historical September climatology and the absence of anomalous pressure gradients reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest forecast consensus over earlier seasonal outlooks. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$921Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Seattle on September 6, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting a daily high near the long-term average of 72.8°F. This setup favors the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 70-71°F, as current runs show highs clustering in the low 70s without significant warm advection or marine influence to push readings higher or suppress them. Historical September climatology and the absence of anomalous pressure gradients reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest forecast consensus over earlier seasonal outlooks. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання