National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 5, 2026, call for a high near 89°F under mostly sunny morning conditions shifting to scattered thunderstorms after 1 p.m., with heat indices reaching 105–106°F due to high humidity. This aligns with the market's strong emphasis on the 90–91°F bin, as afternoon convection and increased cloud cover typically limit peak readings to the upper 80s or low 90s in late-summer subtropical regimes. Recent model guidance from GFS and local MOS outputs shows consistency with climatological September averages of 89–90°F, while prior days' readings up to 93°F reflect clearer conditions that are absent today. Traders appear to weigh the timing of storm initiation and steering flow as key variables that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or cap it below 90°F before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on September 5?
90-91°F 69%
88-89°F 16%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 4%
$21,723 Обс.
$21,723 Обс.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
69%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 69%
88-89°F 16%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 4%
$21,723 Обс.
$21,723 Обс.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
69%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 5, 2026, call for a high near 89°F under mostly sunny morning conditions shifting to scattered thunderstorms after 1 p.m., with heat indices reaching 105–106°F due to high humidity. This aligns with the market's strong emphasis on the 90–91°F bin, as afternoon convection and increased cloud cover typically limit peak readings to the upper 80s or low 90s in late-summer subtropical regimes. Recent model guidance from GFS and local MOS outputs shows consistency with climatological September averages of 89–90°F, while prior days' readings up to 93°F reflect clearer conditions that are absent today. Traders appear to weigh the timing of storm initiation and steering flow as key variables that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or cap it below 90°F before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання