Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on July 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 26?
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 40%
94-95°F 10%
88-89°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 26, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 40%
94-95°F 10%
88-89°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 26, 2026
79°F or below
$45 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$36 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$12 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$55 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$40 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$123 Обс.
8%
90-91°F
$707 Обс.
40%
92-93°F
$1,902 Обс.
41%
94-95°F
$195 Обс.
10%
96-97°F
$77 Обс.
2%
98°F or higher
$116 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,309Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,309Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a primary driver of afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze influences that typically cap highs near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 90–93°F range at over two-thirds combined implied probability. Persistent drought conditions and above-normal sea-surface temperatures have supported recent daily maxima of 91–93°F, yet scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 30–40% coverage—introduce timing uncertainty that can either allow brief clearing for higher readings or deliver earlier cloud cover to suppress peaks. Historical July normals near 91°F with occasional records above 95°F provide context, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor the observed trader consensus for moderate rather than extreme outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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