Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on July 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 27?
35°C 34%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
26%
35°C
34%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 34%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 27, 2026
29°C or below
$633 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,947 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$15 Обс.
2%
32°C
$281 Обс.
4%
33°C
$167 Обс.
9%
34°C
$174 Обс.
26%
35°C
$282 Обс.
34%
36°C
$225 Обс.
19%
37°C
$430 Обс.
7%
38°C
$306 Обс.
3%
39°C or higher
$846 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,306Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,306Дата завершення
Jul 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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