Met Office forecasts indicate a 27°C maximum for London on August 10 under strengthening high pressure and predominantly sunny conditions across southern England, aligning directly with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this central value due to stable atmospheric patterns and minimal frontal activity, supporting the clustered probabilities for 26–28°C. Recent warming trends and settled weather have reinforced this consensus, though small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover could shift the exact peak by a degree. Traders are monitoring the latest high-resolution updates and official observations for resolution criteria tied to verified station maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 10?
Highest temperature in London on August 10?
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 18%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
$18,473 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,473 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
26%
27°C
38%
28°C
18%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 18%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
$18,473 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,473 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
$553 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$418 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$711 Обс.
2%
25°C
$5,661 Обс.
13%
26°C
$4,060 Обс.
26%
27°C
$2,108 Обс.
38%
28°C
$1,362 Обс.
18%
29°C
$1,016 Обс.
6%
30°C
$1,176 Обс.
2%
31°C
$546 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$861 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts indicate a 27°C maximum for London on August 10 under strengthening high pressure and predominantly sunny conditions across southern England, aligning directly with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this central value due to stable atmospheric patterns and minimal frontal activity, supporting the clustered probabilities for 26–28°C. Recent warming trends and settled weather have reinforced this consensus, though small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover could shift the exact peak by a degree. Traders are monitoring the latest high-resolution updates and official observations for resolution criteria tied to verified station maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,473Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts indicate a 27°C maximum for London on August 10 under strengthening high pressure and predominantly sunny conditions across southern England, aligning directly with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this central value due to stable atmospheric patterns and minimal frontal activity, supporting the clustered probabilities for 26–28°C. Recent warming trends and settled weather have reinforced this consensus, though small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover could shift the exact peak by a degree. Traders are monitoring the latest high-resolution updates and official observations for resolution criteria tied to verified station maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,473Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts indicate a 27°C maximum for London on August 10 under strengthening high pressure and predominantly sunny conditions across southern England, aligning directly with the market's leading 37.5% implied probability for that outcome. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this central value due to stable atmospheric patterns and minimal frontal activity, supporting the clustered probabilities for 26–28°C. Recent warming trends and settled weather have reinforced this consensus, though small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or localized cloud cover could shift the exact peak by a degree. Traders are monitoring the latest high-resolution updates and official observations for resolution criteria tied to verified station maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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