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Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$53,587 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$53,587 Обс.

Polymarket

60%+

$28,525 Обс.

66%

65%+

$13,582 Обс.

31%

70%+

$5,265 Обс.

17%

75%+

$2,857 Обс.

12%

80%+

$1,151 Обс.

7%

90%+

$2,206 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus/Mythos variants currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by iterative reasoning improvements, extended context handling, and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question expert-curated benchmark spanning mathematics, physics, and other domains. This rapid climb from mid-40s percent earlier in the year reflects competitive pressure among frontier labs, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 trailing by several points while Google and smaller players post lower figures. Trader sentiment on the overall 2026 high centers on continued model cadence and reasoning optimizations before year-end, tempered by the benchmark’s design to resist quick saturation and the possibility of evaluation-condition differences across sources. Key near-term catalysts include additional 2026 releases and any official tool-use or multimodal updates that could shift the frontier.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$53,587
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://agi.safe.ai/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus/Mythos variants currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by iterative reasoning improvements, extended context handling, and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question expert-curated benchmark spanning mathematics, physics, and other domains. This rapid climb from mid-40s percent earlier in the year reflects competitive pressure among frontier labs, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 trailing by several points while Google and smaller players post lower figures. Trader sentiment on the overall 2026 high centers on continued model cadence and reasoning optimizations before year-end, tempered by the benchmark’s design to resist quick saturation and the possibility of evaluation-condition differences across sources. Key near-term catalysts include additional 2026 releases and any official tool-use or multimodal updates that could shift the frontier.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$53,587
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://agi.safe.ai/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «60%+» з 66%, далі «65%+» з 31%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» згенерував $53.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» — «60%+» з 66%. Наступний — «65%+» з 31%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.