Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$39,788 Обс.
$39,788 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$39,788 Обс.
$39,788 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,583 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$19,206 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,788Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,788Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary with a clear majority in the 18th District, facing Republican Shane Lewis in November. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Lofgren's long tenure, fundraising edge, and absence of significant primary or general election challengers have reinforced this positioning. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Factors that could shift the outcome include late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health concerns, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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