Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement ahead of the August 5 earnings release. Q1 results showed a recorded combined ratio of 82.0 and underlying ratio of 80.3, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, higher earned premiums from rate actions, and an 9.8% rise in net investment income. Auto and homeowners segments both posted meaningful year-over-year gains in underlying profitability, supporting consensus that the Q2 figure will likely fall below 88%. With the earnings date imminent, the distribution of probabilities—led by the sub-88% bucket at 50%—captures the market’s pricing of these positive trends against typical seasonal variability in catastrophe exposure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<88% 51%
88%-90% 32%
90%-92% 11%
94%+ 3.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
<88%
51%
88%-90%
32%
90%-92%
11%
92%-94%
3%
94%+
4%
<88% 51%
88%-90% 32%
90%-92% 11%
94%+ 3.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
<88%
$7,419 Обс.
51%
88%-90%
$494 Обс.
32%
90%-92%
$753 Обс.
11%
92%-94%
$439 Обс.
3%
94%+
$285 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement ahead of the August 5 earnings release. Q1 results showed a recorded combined ratio of 82.0 and underlying ratio of 80.3, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, higher earned premiums from rate actions, and an 9.8% rise in net investment income. Auto and homeowners segments both posted meaningful year-over-year gains in underlying profitability, supporting consensus that the Q2 figure will likely fall below 88%. With the earnings date imminent, the distribution of probabilities—led by the sub-88% bucket at 50%—captures the market’s pricing of these positive trends against typical seasonal variability in catastrophe exposure.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,390Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement ahead of the August 5 earnings release. Q1 results showed a recorded combined ratio of 82.0 and underlying ratio of 80.3, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, higher earned premiums from rate actions, and an 9.8% rise in net investment income. Auto and homeowners segments both posted meaningful year-over-year gains in underlying profitability, supporting consensus that the Q2 figure will likely fall below 88%. With the earnings date imminent, the distribution of probabilities—led by the sub-88% bucket at 50%—captures the market’s pricing of these positive trends against typical seasonal variability in catastrophe exposure.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,390Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allstate’s Q2 2026 property-liability combined ratio market reflects trader expectations of continued underwriting improvement ahead of the August 5 earnings release. Q1 results showed a recorded combined ratio of 82.0 and underlying ratio of 80.3, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, higher earned premiums from rate actions, and an 9.8% rise in net investment income. Auto and homeowners segments both posted meaningful year-over-year gains in underlying profitability, supporting consensus that the Q2 figure will likely fall below 88%. With the earnings date imminent, the distribution of probabilities—led by the sub-88% bucket at 50%—captures the market’s pricing of these positive trends against typical seasonal variability in catastrophe exposure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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