Redistricting approved by the U.S. Supreme Court shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, positioning GOP nominee Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures in the November 3, 2026 general election. The recent Republican primary win by Marques, a Trump-endorsed state legislator, consolidated party support ahead of the contest, while Figures advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Fundraising has remained competitive, with similar totals raised through mid-2026 and high spending by the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices accounts for these structural changes and the incumbent's adjusted path to victory in the newly configured district, though the race remains subject to turnout and late-cycle developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,595 Обс.
$39,595 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,595 Обс.
$39,595 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,306 Обс.
75%
Democratic Party
$19,289 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the U.S. Supreme Court shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, positioning GOP nominee Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures in the November 3, 2026 general election. The recent Republican primary win by Marques, a Trump-endorsed state legislator, consolidated party support ahead of the contest, while Figures advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Fundraising has remained competitive, with similar totals raised through mid-2026 and high spending by the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices accounts for these structural changes and the incumbent's adjusted path to victory in the newly configured district, though the race remains subject to turnout and late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$39,595Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the U.S. Supreme Court shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, positioning GOP nominee Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures in the November 3, 2026 general election. The recent Republican primary win by Marques, a Trump-endorsed state legislator, consolidated party support ahead of the contest, while Figures advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Fundraising has remained competitive, with similar totals raised through mid-2026 and high spending by the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices accounts for these structural changes and the incumbent's adjusted path to victory in the newly configured district, though the race remains subject to turnout and late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,595Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the U.S. Supreme Court shifted Alabama's 2nd congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, positioning GOP nominee Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures in the November 3, 2026 general election. The recent Republican primary win by Marques, a Trump-endorsed state legislator, consolidated party support ahead of the contest, while Figures advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Fundraising has remained competitive, with similar totals raised through mid-2026 and high spending by the Republican side. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices accounts for these structural changes and the incumbent's adjusted path to victory in the newly configured district, though the race remains subject to turnout and late-cycle developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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