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icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

3% tsansa
Polymarket

$32,099 Vol.

3% tsansa
Polymarket

$32,099 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Zohran Mamdani, a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2018 after immigrating from Uganda as a child, faces no active denaturalization proceedings despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers including Rep. Andy Ogles for DOJ investigation over alleged nondisclosure of political associations or past statements. Immigration experts and fact-checkers have found no credible evidence of material misrepresentation on his naturalization forms that would meet the high legal threshold for revocation, which requires judicial action and is historically limited to cases of fraud or serious concealment rather than political speech. The Trump administration’s broader denaturalization priorities have not produced public filings against him, and post-election meetings between Mamdani and Trump officials signaled de-escalation. Trader consensus at 97.5% for no revocation before 2027 reflects these procedural barriers, the absence of new evidence since mid-2025, and the multi-year timeline typically needed for such cases. Late-breaking developments that could still shift odds include discovery of previously undisclosed disqualifying facts or successful litigation under expanded DOJ guidance, though both remain low-probability within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$32,099
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Zohran Mamdani, a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2018 after immigrating from Uganda as a child, faces no active denaturalization proceedings despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers including Rep. Andy Ogles for DOJ investigation over alleged nondisclosure of political associations or past statements. Immigration experts and fact-checkers have found no credible evidence of material misrepresentation on his naturalization forms that would meet the high legal threshold for revocation, which requires judicial action and is historically limited to cases of fraud or serious concealment rather than political speech. The Trump administration’s broader denaturalization priorities have not produced public filings against him, and post-election meetings between Mamdani and Trump officials signaled de-escalation. Trader consensus at 97.5% for no revocation before 2027 reflects these procedural barriers, the absence of new evidence since mid-2025, and the multi-year timeline typically needed for such cases. Late-breaking developments that could still shift odds include discovery of previously undisclosed disqualifying facts or successful litigation under expanded DOJ guidance, though both remain low-probability within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$32,099
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 3% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 3¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 3% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $32.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" ay 3% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 3% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.