U.S. nationality law permits dual citizenship without automatic revocation for naturalization abroad or competing for another country, and official records show no expatriation filing or targeted denaturalization proceeding against Eileen Gu despite her 2019 Chinese naturalization and continued Olympic representation of China through the 2026 Winter Games. Public debate, petitions, and isolated commentary around her status have not produced executive, legislative, or judicial action by mid-2026. This stable legal baseline and lack of imminent catalysts underpin trader consensus near 98 percent against revocation by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Rare developments that could still alter the outcome include verified evidence of citizenship fraud, a new statute targeting dual nationals in elite sports, or an unprecedented administrative review before the deadline.