Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 69% implied probability for the top Text Arena Math AI model by end of October, driven by recent demonstrations of its unreleased Claude research versions advancing complex mathematical reasoning. These include raising the lower bound on zeta zeros satisfying the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%, alongside strong performance on benchmarks like MATH and AIME. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid its own ASTRA model claims on open problems, but faces questions on consistent text-only math benchmarks versus Anthropic's edge in disciplined reasoning chains. Lower odds for Google, Moonshot, and others reflect limited recent verified progress on the specific arena criteria, with traders weighing upcoming model releases and capability thresholds through October.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
Anthropic 69%
OpenAI 16%
Google 4.6%
Alibaba 3.3%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
69%
OpenAI
16%
10%
Alibaba
3%
Amazon
2%
Meta
2%
StepFun
2%
Moonshot
2%
Tencent
2%
ByteDance
2%
MiniMax
2%
Microsoft
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Mistral
2%
Xiaomi
2%
Baidu
1%
Nvidia
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meituan
1%
Anthropic 69%
OpenAI 16%
Google 4.6%
Alibaba 3.3%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$778 Vol.
69%
OpenAI
$230 Vol.
16%
$170 Vol.
10%
Alibaba
$93 Vol.
3%
Amazon
$167 Vol.
2%
Meta
$103 Vol.
2%
StepFun
$125 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$93 Vol.
2%
Tencent
$171 Vol.
2%
ByteDance
$102 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$115 Vol.
2%
Microsoft
$77 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$95 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$127 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$206 Vol.
2%
Baidu
$77 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$110 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$183 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$102 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$130 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 69% implied probability for the top Text Arena Math AI model by end of October, driven by recent demonstrations of its unreleased Claude research versions advancing complex mathematical reasoning. These include raising the lower bound on zeta zeros satisfying the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%, alongside strong performance on benchmarks like MATH and AIME. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid its own ASTRA model claims on open problems, but faces questions on consistent text-only math benchmarks versus Anthropic's edge in disciplined reasoning chains. Lower odds for Google, Moonshot, and others reflect limited recent verified progress on the specific arena criteria, with traders weighing upcoming model releases and capability thresholds through October.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$3,256Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 69% implied probability for the top Text Arena Math AI model by end of October, driven by recent demonstrations of its unreleased Claude research versions advancing complex mathematical reasoning. These include raising the lower bound on zeta zeros satisfying the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%, alongside strong performance on benchmarks like MATH and AIME. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid its own ASTRA model claims on open problems, but faces questions on consistent text-only math benchmarks versus Anthropic's edge in disciplined reasoning chains. Lower odds for Google, Moonshot, and others reflect limited recent verified progress on the specific arena criteria, with traders weighing upcoming model releases and capability thresholds through October.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,256Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 69% implied probability for the top Text Arena Math AI model by end of October, driven by recent demonstrations of its unreleased Claude research versions advancing complex mathematical reasoning. These include raising the lower bound on zeta zeros satisfying the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%, alongside strong performance on benchmarks like MATH and AIME. OpenAI trails at 15.5% amid its own ASTRA model claims on open problems, but faces questions on consistent text-only math benchmarks versus Anthropic's edge in disciplined reasoning chains. Lower odds for Google, Moonshot, and others reflect limited recent verified progress on the specific arena criteria, with traders weighing upcoming model releases and capability thresholds through October.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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