Recent leaks and reports of an August 2026 launch for GPT-5.7 or GPT-6 have emerged as the main driver of trader sentiment, following the July 9 general availability of GPT-5.6 Sol as OpenAI's flagship reasoning model. Speculation centers on a new pre-training base, ~10T-scale training run, expanded context window, and gains in agentic capabilities, though OpenAI has issued no official confirmation, timeline, or model card. Competitive pressure from other labs, OpenAI's pattern of frequent incremental releases, and the recent August 13 preview of an ultrafast mode for the existing 5.6 Sol add to the uncertainty. Market-implied odds hinge on whether credible reporting or an announcement materializes before month-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?
August 31
39%
October 31
54%
$21 Vol.
August 31
39%
October 31
54%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent leaks and reports of an August 2026 launch for GPT-5.7 or GPT-6 have emerged as the main driver of trader sentiment, following the July 9 general availability of GPT-5.6 Sol as OpenAI's flagship reasoning model. Speculation centers on a new pre-training base, ~10T-scale training run, expanded context window, and gains in agentic capabilities, though OpenAI has issued no official confirmation, timeline, or model card. Competitive pressure from other labs, OpenAI's pattern of frequent incremental releases, and the recent August 13 preview of an ultrafast mode for the existing 5.6 Sol add to the uncertainty. Market-implied odds hinge on whether credible reporting or an announcement materializes before month-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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