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Ekonomiya·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026

icon for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
Ekonomiya·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026

Aug 28

Aug 28

55.0–57.9 34%

52.0–54.9 31%

49.0–51.9 15%

58.0–60.9 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

55.0–57.9 34%

52.0–54.9 31%

49.0–51.9 15%

58.0–60.9 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

<49.0

$247 Vol.

16%

49.0–51.9

$306 Vol.

20%

52.0–54.9

$6,791 Vol.

31%

55.0–57.9

$1,250 Vol.

37%

58.0–60.9

$621 Vol.

11%

61.0–63.9

$163 Vol.

7%

64.0+

$219 Vol.

4%

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data, finalized at 55.2 after a preliminary 54.4, marked a five-month high and broad-based gains across demographics, driven by lower year-ahead inflation expectations (down to 4.2%) amid easing gasoline prices and a 0.4% June CPI decline. With the preliminary August reading scheduled for August 14, trader positioning clusters tightly around the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether labor-market softening (rising unemployment to 4.4% and weaker job-finding perceptions) and persistent high-price concerns will offset momentum from modest Q2 GDP growth and stable long-run inflation expectations at 3.3%. The market-implied odds underscore closely balanced views on whether the index sustains recent gains or reverts toward prior lows.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$9,597
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data, finalized at 55.2 after a preliminary 54.4, marked a five-month high and broad-based gains across demographics, driven by lower year-ahead inflation expectations (down to 4.2%) amid easing gasoline prices and a 0.4% June CPI decline. With the preliminary August reading scheduled for August 14, trader positioning clusters tightly around the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether labor-market softening (rising unemployment to 4.4% and weaker job-finding perceptions) and persistent high-price concerns will offset momentum from modest Q2 GDP growth and stable long-run inflation expectations at 3.3%. The market-implied odds underscore closely balanced views on whether the index sustains recent gains or reverts toward prior lows.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$9,597
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Kaugnay

icon for Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?

Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?

30%
icon for Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?

28%
icon for Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?

Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?

74%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "55.0–57.9" sa 37%, sinusundan ng "52.0–54.9" sa 31%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 37¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 4, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" ay "55.0–57.9" sa 37%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "52.0–54.9" sa 31%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.