Recent polls from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA place the AfD at 41-43 percent in the final days before the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, roughly double its 2021 result of 20.8 percent while the CDU has fallen to 22-24 percent. This positioning keeps the 39-42 percent and 42-45 percent brackets closely matched, as minor variations across surveys and roughly 10 percent undecided voters create uncertainty over the exact finish. Other parties hovering near the five-percent threshold, such as the Greens and BSW, add variability through their potential impact on overall turnout and seat allocation, though consistent AfD leads across recent fieldwork indicate limited scope for major last-minute swings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update39-42% 41%
42-45% 36%
<39% 16%
45%+ 9%
$27,323 Vol.
$27,323 Vol.
<39%
16%
39-42%
41%
42-45%
36%
45%+
9%
39-42% 41%
42-45% 36%
<39% 16%
45%+ 9%
$27,323 Vol.
$27,323 Vol.
<39%
16%
39-42%
41%
42-45%
36%
45%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from institutes including Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA place the AfD at 41-43 percent in the final days before the September 6, 2026, Landtag election, roughly double its 2021 result of 20.8 percent while the CDU has fallen to 22-24 percent. This positioning keeps the 39-42 percent and 42-45 percent brackets closely matched, as minor variations across surveys and roughly 10 percent undecided voters create uncertainty over the exact finish. Other parties hovering near the five-percent threshold, such as the Greens and BSW, add variability through their potential impact on overall turnout and seat allocation, though consistent AfD leads across recent fieldwork indicate limited scope for major last-minute swings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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