Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA places AfD support in Saxony-Anhalt between 41% and 43% in the final days before the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU trailing far behind at 22-23%. This narrow band around the 39-45% thresholds explains the tight market pricing, as surveys have shown only modest one-point shifts in the past week amid a stable lead for AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund. A sizable share of voters remains undecided or open to late shifts, while turnout patterns and minor-party performance near the 5% threshold could influence the final AfD percentage without altering its commanding position. Other parties maintain their firewall against cooperation, limiting any coalition-driven momentum effects on vote shares.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update39-42% 41%
42-45% 36%
<39% 16%
45%+ 10%
$27,112 Vol.
$27,112 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<39%
16%
39-42%
41%
42-45%
36%
45%+
10%
39-42% 41%
42-45% 36%
<39% 16%
45%+ 10%
$27,112 Vol.
$27,112 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<39%
$4,171 Vol.
16%
39-42%
$6,725 Vol.
41%
42-45%
$10,115 Vol.
36%
45%+
$6,101 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA places AfD support in Saxony-Anhalt between 41% and 43% in the final days before the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU trailing far behind at 22-23%. This narrow band around the 39-45% thresholds explains the tight market pricing, as surveys have shown only modest one-point shifts in the past week amid a stable lead for AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund. A sizable share of voters remains undecided or open to late shifts, while turnout patterns and minor-party performance near the 5% threshold could influence the final AfD percentage without altering its commanding position. Other parties maintain their firewall against cooperation, limiting any coalition-driven momentum effects on vote shares.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volume
$27,112Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA places AfD support in Saxony-Anhalt between 41% and 43% in the final days before the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU trailing far behind at 22-23%. This narrow band around the 39-45% thresholds explains the tight market pricing, as surveys have shown only modest one-point shifts in the past week amid a stable lead for AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund. A sizable share of voters remains undecided or open to late shifts, while turnout patterns and minor-party performance near the 5% threshold could influence the final AfD percentage without altering its commanding position. Other parties maintain their firewall against cooperation, limiting any coalition-driven momentum effects on vote shares.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$27,112Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA places AfD support in Saxony-Anhalt between 41% and 43% in the final days before the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU trailing far behind at 22-23%. This narrow band around the 39-45% thresholds explains the tight market pricing, as surveys have shown only modest one-point shifts in the past week amid a stable lead for AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund. A sizable share of voters remains undecided or open to late shifts, while turnout patterns and minor-party performance near the 5% threshold could influence the final AfD percentage without altering its commanding position. Other parties maintain their firewall against cooperation, limiting any coalition-driven momentum effects on vote shares.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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