United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Russia
Nagwagi ng Halalan sa Parlamento ng Russia
United Russia (ER) 99.0%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
New People (NL) <1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$3,765,772 Vol.
$3,765,772 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
United Russia (ER)
99%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%
New People (NL)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia (ER) 99.0%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
New People (NL) <1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$3,765,772 Vol.
$3,765,772 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$1,202,543 Vol.
99%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$213,237 Vol.
1%
New People (NL)
$168,968 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$742,262 Vol.
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$70,405 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,765,772Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,765,772Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
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