Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a tight race for first and second in popular vote, with the Quebec Liberal Party consistently third around 20-24 percent while the Parti Conservateur du Québec sits fourth near 14-15 percent. The PLQ maintains a strong base among anglophone and allophone voters concentrated on the Island of Montreal, which supports its implied probability of finishing third despite weaker francophone numbers elsewhere. A late-August Synopsis poll indicated CAQ gains of seven points, drawn partly from PLQ support amid concerns over U.S. tariffs and economic stability, while QS and PCQ remain lower but regionally competitive in areas such as Quebec City. With the October 5 election campaign just underway and roughly half of voters open to switching preferences, regional fragmentation and last-minute shifts in francophone support could still alter third-place ordering among the PLQ, CAQ, or PCQ.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePLQ 53%
CAQ 24%
PCQ 13%
PQ 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
53%
CAQ
24%
PCQ
13%
PQ
8%
QS
3%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 53%
CAQ 24%
PCQ 13%
PQ 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$1,072 Vol.
53%
CAQ
$683 Vol.
24%
PCQ
$388 Vol.
13%
PQ
$924 Vol.
8%
QS
$747 Vol.
3%
PVQ
$422 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a tight race for first and second in popular vote, with the Quebec Liberal Party consistently third around 20-24 percent while the Parti Conservateur du Québec sits fourth near 14-15 percent. The PLQ maintains a strong base among anglophone and allophone voters concentrated on the Island of Montreal, which supports its implied probability of finishing third despite weaker francophone numbers elsewhere. A late-August Synopsis poll indicated CAQ gains of seven points, drawn partly from PLQ support amid concerns over U.S. tariffs and economic stability, while QS and PCQ remain lower but regionally competitive in areas such as Quebec City. With the October 5 election campaign just underway and roughly half of voters open to switching preferences, regional fragmentation and last-minute shifts in francophone support could still alter third-place ordering among the PLQ, CAQ, or PCQ.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,236Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a tight race for first and second in popular vote, with the Quebec Liberal Party consistently third around 20-24 percent while the Parti Conservateur du Québec sits fourth near 14-15 percent. The PLQ maintains a strong base among anglophone and allophone voters concentrated on the Island of Montreal, which supports its implied probability of finishing third despite weaker francophone numbers elsewhere. A late-August Synopsis poll indicated CAQ gains of seven points, drawn partly from PLQ support amid concerns over U.S. tariffs and economic stability, while QS and PCQ remain lower but regionally competitive in areas such as Quebec City. With the October 5 election campaign just underway and roughly half of voters open to switching preferences, regional fragmentation and last-minute shifts in francophone support could still alter third-place ordering among the PLQ, CAQ, or PCQ.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$4,236Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a tight race for first and second in popular vote, with the Quebec Liberal Party consistently third around 20-24 percent while the Parti Conservateur du Québec sits fourth near 14-15 percent. The PLQ maintains a strong base among anglophone and allophone voters concentrated on the Island of Montreal, which supports its implied probability of finishing third despite weaker francophone numbers elsewhere. A late-August Synopsis poll indicated CAQ gains of seven points, drawn partly from PLQ support amid concerns over U.S. tariffs and economic stability, while QS and PCQ remain lower but regionally competitive in areas such as Quebec City. With the October 5 election campaign just underway and roughly half of voters open to switching preferences, regional fragmentation and last-minute shifts in francophone support could still alter third-place ordering among the PLQ, CAQ, or PCQ.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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