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icon for Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
Mundo·Main Election

Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec

icon for Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
Mundo·Main Election

Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec

PQ 75%

CAQ 22%

PLQ 1.6%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$899,136 Vol.

PQ 75%

CAQ 22%

PLQ 1.6%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$899,136 Vol.

icon for PQ

PQ

$123,202 Vol.

75%

icon for CAQ

CAQ

$137,982 Vol.

22%

icon for PLQ

PLQ

$124,487 Vol.

2%

icon for PCQ

PCQ

$249,419 Vol.

<1%

icon for QS

QS

$106,523 Vol.

<1%

icon for PVQ

PVQ

$157,522 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ maintains a clear lead in recent Quebec polling averages around 29%, well ahead of the CAQ at 23-24% and the PLQ at 20-22%, with the PCQ and QS trailing further behind.** This has translated into seat projections from models like 338Canada showing the PQ favored to win the most seats on October 5, though likely short of a majority and facing a fragmented National Assembly. The PQ's strength among francophone voters and in regions outside Montreal has driven its position, while the CAQ under new leader Christine Fréchette has stabilized after earlier campaign gains but remains behind after eight years in government. The PLQ has lost ground in several surveys, and smaller parties continue to draw limited support. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and regional dynamics, with limited movement in the final weeks before voting.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$899,136
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ maintains a clear lead in recent Quebec polling averages around 29%, well ahead of the CAQ at 23-24% and the PLQ at 20-22%, with the PCQ and QS trailing further behind.** This has translated into seat projections from models like 338Canada showing the PQ favored to win the most seats on October 5, though likely short of a majority and facing a fragmented National Assembly. The PQ's strength among francophone voters and in regions outside Montreal has driven its position, while the CAQ under new leader Christine Fréchette has stabilized after earlier campaign gains but remains behind after eight years in government. The PLQ has lost ground in several surveys, and smaller parties continue to draw limited support. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and regional dynamics, with limited movement in the final weeks before voting.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$899,136
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kaugnay

icon for Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?

Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?

69%
icon for Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?

Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?

70%
icon for Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

59%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "PQ" sa 75%, sinusundan ng "CAQ" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 75¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec" ay naka-generate ng $899.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 2, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec" ay "PQ" sa 75%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "CAQ" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.