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icon for OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
Teknolohiya·OpenAI

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

icon for OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
Teknolohiya·OpenAI

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

BAGO

$24,044 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$24,044 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for December 31, 2027

December 31, 2027

$7,635 Vol.

8%

icon for December 31, 2028

December 31, 2028

$7,746 Vol.

16%

icon for December 31, 2029

December 31, 2029

$8,663 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s continued access to massive private capital and surging investor interest have anchored trader sentiment against near-term bankruptcy. In March 2026 the company closed a $122 billion round at an $852 billion valuation, anchored by SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia, with fresh September 2026 discussions targeting $1.2 trillion or higher before any IPO. Annualized revenue has climbed past $40 billion following recent model releases, even as heavy compute spending produces large losses and quarterly cash burn. CEO Sam Altman has explicitly delayed any public listing until 2027, citing AI safety priorities, while regulators and partners show no signs of withdrawing support. These funding dynamics and competitive positioning in the large language model race make an imminent bankruptcy filing appear remote to market participants.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,044
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2030
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s continued access to massive private capital and surging investor interest have anchored trader sentiment against near-term bankruptcy. In March 2026 the company closed a $122 billion round at an $852 billion valuation, anchored by SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia, with fresh September 2026 discussions targeting $1.2 trillion or higher before any IPO. Annualized revenue has climbed past $40 billion following recent model releases, even as heavy compute spending produces large losses and quarterly cash burn. CEO Sam Altman has explicitly delayed any public listing until 2027, citing AI safety priorities, while regulators and partners show no signs of withdrawing support. These funding dynamics and competitive positioning in the large language model race make an imminent bankruptcy filing appear remote to market participants.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,044
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2030
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Will JC Penney announce bankruptcy before 2027?

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5%
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OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31, 2029" sa 20%, sinusundan ng "December 31, 2028" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 20¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 20% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay naka-generate ng $24K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay "December 31, 2029" sa 20%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 20% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "December 31, 2028" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.