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icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

Pappas 30–35% 98.4%

Pappas 35–40% 2.8%

Pappas 20–25% 2.6%

Pappas 15–20% 2.6%

Polymarket

$6,161 Vol.

Pappas 30–35% 98.4%

Pappas 35–40% 2.8%

Pappas 20–25% 2.6%

Pappas 15–20% 2.6%

Polymarket

$6,161 Vol.

icon for Pappas 40%+

Pappas 40%+

$1,739 Vol.

2%

icon for Pappas 35–40%

Pappas 35–40%

$305 Vol.

3%

icon for Pappas 30–35%

Pappas 30–35%

$470 Vol.

98%

icon for Pappas 25–30%

Pappas 25–30%

$359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pappas 20–25%

Pappas 20–25%

$671 Vol.

3%

icon for Pappas 15–20%

Pappas 15–20%

$787 Vol.

3%

icon for Pappas 10–15%

Pappas 10–15%

$411 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pappas 5–10%

Pappas 5–10%

$384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pappas 0–5%

Pappas 0–5%

$422 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manzur 0–5%

Manzur 0–5%

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manzur 5%+

Manzur 5%+

$250 Vol.

<1%

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$6,161
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$6,161
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?

25%
icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?

21%
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?

22%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Pappas 30–35%" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "Pappas 40%+" sa 2%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 1, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" ay "Pappas 30–35%" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Pappas 40%+" sa 2%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.