AfD maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with the latest Infratest dimap survey placing it at 35 percent against the SPD’s 32 percent, following earlier margins of 7–9 points. This positioning underpins the market’s 77 percent implied probability for AfD as the strongest party, reflecting consistent gains since 2021 and limited erosion despite the SPD’s late uptick under Minister President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties trail far behind the five-percent threshold or remain fragmented, reducing prospects for any alternative to finish first. The two-week campaign window offers little time for further shifts, though turnout and final voter mobilization in eastern districts could narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with these structural polling dynamics and historical patterns of AfD strength in the state.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 77%
SPD 22%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$710,206 Vol.
$710,206 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
77%
SPD
22%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 77%
SPD 22%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$710,206 Vol.
$710,206 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$190,688 Vol.
77%
SPD
$160,581 Vol.
22%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$115,965 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with the latest Infratest dimap survey placing it at 35 percent against the SPD’s 32 percent, following earlier margins of 7–9 points. This positioning underpins the market’s 77 percent implied probability for AfD as the strongest party, reflecting consistent gains since 2021 and limited erosion despite the SPD’s late uptick under Minister President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties trail far behind the five-percent threshold or remain fragmented, reducing prospects for any alternative to finish first. The two-week campaign window offers little time for further shifts, though turnout and final voter mobilization in eastern districts could narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with these structural polling dynamics and historical patterns of AfD strength in the state.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$710,206Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with the latest Infratest dimap survey placing it at 35 percent against the SPD’s 32 percent, following earlier margins of 7–9 points. This positioning underpins the market’s 77 percent implied probability for AfD as the strongest party, reflecting consistent gains since 2021 and limited erosion despite the SPD’s late uptick under Minister President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties trail far behind the five-percent threshold or remain fragmented, reducing prospects for any alternative to finish first. The two-week campaign window offers little time for further shifts, though turnout and final voter mobilization in eastern districts could narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with these structural polling dynamics and historical patterns of AfD strength in the state.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$710,206Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages for the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with the latest Infratest dimap survey placing it at 35 percent against the SPD’s 32 percent, following earlier margins of 7–9 points. This positioning underpins the market’s 77 percent implied probability for AfD as the strongest party, reflecting consistent gains since 2021 and limited erosion despite the SPD’s late uptick under Minister President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties trail far behind the five-percent threshold or remain fragmented, reducing prospects for any alternative to finish first. The two-week campaign window offers little time for further shifts, though turnout and final voter mobilization in eastern districts could narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with these structural polling dynamics and historical patterns of AfD strength in the state.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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