Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the gap narrowing slightly in late August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa. The Linke trails at around 11%, followed by the CDU at 8-10%, with the Grüne, BSW, and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This consistent ordering across multiple institutes has shaped trader consensus around the SPD for second place. SPD gains in the most recent fieldwork, combined with its role in the incumbent government and voter preferences in head-to-head assessments, have reinforced its position ahead of the vote, while limited movement among other parties keeps their second-place probabilities lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSPD 73%
AfD 21.5%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$38,487 Vol.
$38,487 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
73%
AfD
22%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD 73%
AfD 21.5%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$38,487 Vol.
$38,487 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
$18,459 Vol.
73%
AfD
$14,699 Vol.
22%
CDU
$902 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$909 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
FW
$749 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$920 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the gap narrowing slightly in late August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa. The Linke trails at around 11%, followed by the CDU at 8-10%, with the Grüne, BSW, and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This consistent ordering across multiple institutes has shaped trader consensus around the SPD for second place. SPD gains in the most recent fieldwork, combined with its role in the incumbent government and voter preferences in head-to-head assessments, have reinforced its position ahead of the vote, while limited movement among other parties keeps their second-place probabilities lower.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$38,487Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the gap narrowing slightly in late August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa. The Linke trails at around 11%, followed by the CDU at 8-10%, with the Grüne, BSW, and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This consistent ordering across multiple institutes has shaped trader consensus around the SPD for second place. SPD gains in the most recent fieldwork, combined with its role in the incumbent government and voter preferences in head-to-head assessments, have reinforced its position ahead of the vote, while limited movement among other parties keeps their second-place probabilities lower.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$38,487Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the gap narrowing slightly in late August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa. The Linke trails at around 11%, followed by the CDU at 8-10%, with the Grüne, BSW, and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This consistent ordering across multiple institutes has shaped trader consensus around the SPD for second place. SPD gains in the most recent fieldwork, combined with its role in the incumbent government and voter preferences in head-to-head assessments, have reinforced its position ahead of the vote, while limited movement among other parties keeps their second-place probabilities lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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