**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
7°C or below 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 98%
12°C 50%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
100%
9°C
98%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 98%
12°C 50%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
8°C
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
98%
10°C
$10 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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