**Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF indicate a daily minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 most likely near 24–26°C, driven by light southerly to westerly winds, high overnight humidity above 80%, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling.** This setup aligns closely with the market-implied 25°C outcome at 47% while creating uncertainty around exact thresholds, as minor shifts in wind or cloud timing could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 23–25°C under similar stable high-pressure patterns, with sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean preventing sharper drops. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though updated model runs tonight will refine the overnight minimum. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with lower-probability outcomes like 29°C+ or sub-22°C requiring atypical deviations from current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
19°C or below 48%
25°C 47%
29°C or higher 45%
21°C 40%
19°C or below
48%
20°C
14%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
10%
24°C
26%
25°C
47%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
45%
19°C or below 48%
25°C 47%
29°C or higher 45%
21°C 40%
19°C or below
48%
20°C
14%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
10%
24°C
26%
25°C
47%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, GFS, and ECMWF indicate a daily minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 most likely near 24–26°C, driven by light southerly to westerly winds, high overnight humidity above 80%, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling.** This setup aligns closely with the market-implied 25°C outcome at 47% while creating uncertainty around exact thresholds, as minor shifts in wind or cloud timing could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 23–25°C under similar stable high-pressure patterns, with sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean preventing sharper drops. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though updated model runs tonight will refine the overnight minimum. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with lower-probability outcomes like 29°C+ or sub-22°C requiring atypical deviations from current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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