Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 2?
28°C 50%
27°C 21%
29°C 9%
26°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
50%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
27°C 21%
29°C 9%
26°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
50%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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