Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 15°C on September 6, 2026, under largely stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover overnight. This aligns closely with ensemble model consensus from sources like the GFS, which project early-morning lows near 15°C before daytime warming to 26°C, consistent with above-average September conditions driven by mild Atlantic air masses. Historical baselines show typical early-September lows around 12°C, yet current atmospheric stability and dew-point readings near 13°C support limited radiative cooling. The 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects trader confidence in official observational resolution criteria, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat-island effects or updated model runs altering the precise minimum by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,728 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,350 Vol.
99%
16°C
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 15°C on September 6, 2026, under largely stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover overnight. This aligns closely with ensemble model consensus from sources like the GFS, which project early-morning lows near 15°C before daytime warming to 26°C, consistent with above-average September conditions driven by mild Atlantic air masses. Historical baselines show typical early-September lows around 12°C, yet current atmospheric stability and dew-point readings near 13°C support limited radiative cooling. The 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects trader confidence in official observational resolution criteria, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat-island effects or updated model runs altering the precise minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,744Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 15°C on September 6, 2026, under largely stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover overnight. This aligns closely with ensemble model consensus from sources like the GFS, which project early-morning lows near 15°C before daytime warming to 26°C, consistent with above-average September conditions driven by mild Atlantic air masses. Historical baselines show typical early-September lows around 12°C, yet current atmospheric stability and dew-point readings near 13°C support limited radiative cooling. The 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects trader confidence in official observational resolution criteria, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat-island effects or updated model runs altering the precise minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,744Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 15°C on September 6, 2026, under largely stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and limited cloud cover overnight. This aligns closely with ensemble model consensus from sources like the GFS, which project early-morning lows near 15°C before daytime warming to 26°C, consistent with above-average September conditions driven by mild Atlantic air masses. Historical baselines show typical early-September lows around 12°C, yet current atmospheric stability and dew-point readings near 13°C support limited radiative cooling. The 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects trader confidence in official observational resolution criteria, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat-island effects or updated model runs altering the precise minimum by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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