Recent model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS indicates a mild overnight minimum near 11–12 °C in Helsinki on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of an unsettled maritime air mass, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer autumn nights, keeping the low above the long-term September average of roughly 8–10 °C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing, wind gusts, or localized urban heat effects could shift the official station reading by 1 °C, while probabilities below 10 % for colder thresholds align with the low likelihood of stronger radiational cooling under the current forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 18?
10°C 99%
11°C 59%
9°C 19%
8°C 17%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
17%
9°C
19%
10°C
99%
11°C
59%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 99%
11°C 59%
9°C 19%
8°C 17%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
17%
9°C
19%
10°C
99%
11°C
59%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS indicates a mild overnight minimum near 11–12 °C in Helsinki on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of an unsettled maritime air mass, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer autumn nights, keeping the low above the long-term September average of roughly 8–10 °C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing, wind gusts, or localized urban heat effects could shift the official station reading by 1 °C, while probabilities below 10 % for colder thresholds align with the low likelihood of stronger radiational cooling under the current forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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