Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 6 likely between 25–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent high pressure maintains clear to mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm air mass holds overnight lows above seasonal September averages near 22°C. Minor variations in dew point and boundary-layer mixing across model runs create the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes, with 26°C edging ahead on current consensus. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from these conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
21°C or below 50%
30°C 49%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
21°C or below
50%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
38%
27°C
32%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
43%
21°C or below 50%
30°C 49%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
21°C or below
50%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
38%
27°C
32%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 6 likely between 25–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Persistent high pressure maintains clear to mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm air mass holds overnight lows above seasonal September averages near 22°C. Minor variations in dew point and boundary-layer mixing across model runs create the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes, with 26°C edging ahead on current consensus. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from these conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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