Current forecasts from global and regional models project a daily minimum near 18–20°C in Beijing on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with typical late-September radiative cooling after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes because small shifts in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or a passing weak front could alter the minimum by several degrees; ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity two days before resolution. Historical September lows average around 15–18°C, providing context for the near-even implied odds on extremes versus the central range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 97%
16°C 40%
14°C 39%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
30%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
97%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 97%
16°C 40%
14°C 39%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
30%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models project a daily minimum near 18–20°C in Beijing on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with typical late-September radiative cooling after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-13°C and 23°C+ outcomes because small shifts in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or a passing weak front could alter the minimum by several degrees; ensemble spreads highlight this sensitivity two days before resolution. Historical September lows average around 15–18°C, providing context for the near-even implied odds on extremes versus the central range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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