Recent forecasts for Manila on September 21 point to scattered thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover as the main factors capping daily highs near 29–32°C, aligning with the market’s highest probabilities clustered in that range. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon convection typically limit solar heating and peak temperatures, though brief clear spells could allow brief rises toward 33–34°C if storms develop later in the day. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with rare excursions above 35°C under suppressed rainfall. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows limited spread, yet timing of precipitation remains the dominant uncertainty for traders. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on September 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 21?
32°C 23%
33°C 22%
35°C 20%
29°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
22%
34°C
18%
35°C
20%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 23%
33°C 22%
35°C 20%
29°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
$68 Vol.
4%
29°C
$9 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$5 Vol.
30%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
18%
35°C
$0 Vol.
20%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 21 point to scattered thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover as the main factors capping daily highs near 29–32°C, aligning with the market’s highest probabilities clustered in that range. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon convection typically limit solar heating and peak temperatures, though brief clear spells could allow brief rises toward 33–34°C if storms develop later in the day. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with rare excursions above 35°C under suppressed rainfall. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows limited spread, yet timing of precipitation remains the dominant uncertainty for traders. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$86Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 21 point to scattered thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover as the main factors capping daily highs near 29–32°C, aligning with the market’s highest probabilities clustered in that range. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon convection typically limit solar heating and peak temperatures, though brief clear spells could allow brief rises toward 33–34°C if storms develop later in the day. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with rare excursions above 35°C under suppressed rainfall. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows limited spread, yet timing of precipitation remains the dominant uncertainty for traders. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 21 point to scattered thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover as the main factors capping daily highs near 29–32°C, aligning with the market’s highest probabilities clustered in that range. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and frequent afternoon convection typically limit solar heating and peak temperatures, though brief clear spells could allow brief rises toward 33–34°C if storms develop later in the day. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with rare excursions above 35°C under suppressed rainfall. Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows limited spread, yet timing of precipitation remains the dominant uncertainty for traders. PAGASA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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