Incumbent George Hsieh (Hsieh Kuo-liang) of the KMT maintains a strong position heading into the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral election, bolstered by his survival of a 2024 recall vote where 55 percent of voters rejected removal. A late-July Mirror Media poll showed him leading DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei (Tong Tzu-wei) by just 2.5 points amid 25 percent undecided, yet trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, historical KMT leanings in the city, and resilience demonstrated in the recall. These factors support the wide gap in current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to turnout and final undecided shifts in the remaining months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
79%
Tung Tzu-wei
21%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$384 Vol.
79%
Tung Tzu-wei
$231 Vol.
21%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent George Hsieh (Hsieh Kuo-liang) of the KMT maintains a strong position heading into the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral election, bolstered by his survival of a 2024 recall vote where 55 percent of voters rejected removal. A late-July Mirror Media poll showed him leading DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei (Tong Tzu-wei) by just 2.5 points amid 25 percent undecided, yet trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, historical KMT leanings in the city, and resilience demonstrated in the recall. These factors support the wide gap in current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to turnout and final undecided shifts in the remaining months.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volume
$615Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent George Hsieh (Hsieh Kuo-liang) of the KMT maintains a strong position heading into the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral election, bolstered by his survival of a 2024 recall vote where 55 percent of voters rejected removal. A late-July Mirror Media poll showed him leading DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei (Tong Tzu-wei) by just 2.5 points amid 25 percent undecided, yet trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, historical KMT leanings in the city, and resilience demonstrated in the recall. These factors support the wide gap in current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to turnout and final undecided shifts in the remaining months.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$615Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent George Hsieh (Hsieh Kuo-liang) of the KMT maintains a strong position heading into the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral election, bolstered by his survival of a 2024 recall vote where 55 percent of voters rejected removal. A late-July Mirror Media poll showed him leading DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei (Tong Tzu-wei) by just 2.5 points amid 25 percent undecided, yet trader consensus reflects the typical advantages of incumbency, historical KMT leanings in the city, and resilience demonstrated in the recall. These factors support the wide gap in current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to turnout and final undecided shifts in the remaining months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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