Skip to main content
icon for Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
Politika·Taiwan

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
Politika·Taiwan

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner

Yu Shu-chen 53%

Chang Chun 26%

Yeh Yao-hui 23%

Lo Pei-chin 20%

Polymarket
BAGO

Yu Shu-chen 53%

Chang Chun 26%

Yeh Yao-hui 23%

Lo Pei-chin 20%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Yu Shu-chen

Yu Shu-chen

$164 Vol.

43%

icon for Chang Chun

Chang Chun

$188 Vol.

26%

icon for Yeh Yao-hui

Yeh Yao-hui

$150 Vol.

23%

icon for Lo Pei-chin

Lo Pei-chin

$130 Vol.

21%

icon for Wei Chia-hsien

Wei Chia-hsien

$104 Vol.

24%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Hualien County Magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, with trader pricing reflecting a fragmented field of pan-blue candidates. KMT nomination of Ji'an Township head Yu Shu-chen in March 2026 followed internal competition involving Hualien County Council speaker Chang Chun and others seeking to shift local influence. Subsequent independent or aligned candidacies by figures including Wei Chia-hsien have sustained vote-splitting dynamics typical of the county's political landscape. Recent campaign pledges on local incentives and scrutiny over party endorsements have kept probabilities balanced among frontrunners. Upcoming candidate registration and any further withdrawals or endorsements before the vote could consolidate support and shift the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$337
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Hualien County Magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, with trader pricing reflecting a fragmented field of pan-blue candidates. KMT nomination of Ji'an Township head Yu Shu-chen in March 2026 followed internal competition involving Hualien County Council speaker Chang Chun and others seeking to shift local influence. Subsequent independent or aligned candidacies by figures including Wei Chia-hsien have sustained vote-splitting dynamics typical of the county's political landscape. Recent campaign pledges on local incentives and scrutiny over party endorsements have kept probabilities balanced among frontrunners. Upcoming candidate registration and any further withdrawals or endorsements before the vote could consolidate support and shift the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$337
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

87%
icon for Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?

Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?

89%
icon for Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

69%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Yu Shu-chen" sa 43%, sinusundan ng "Chang Chun" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 43¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 14, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" ay "Yu Shu-chen" sa 43%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Chang Chun" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.