The August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report, released September 4 and showing a 162,000 gain against economist expectations near 56,000, has created closely matched market-implied odds for September between the 0-50k and 100-150k ranges. This upside surprise, driven by rebounds in leisure and hospitality plus local government education after July's weakness, alongside an unchanged 4.1% unemployment rate and 0.3% monthly wage growth, underscores labor market resilience yet highlights seasonal distortions and potential reversion risks. Traders are weighing the three-month average near 71,000 against softer prior trends, upcoming September CPI, and FOMC decisions as key swing factors in a still-contested outlook.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many jobs added in September?
50k to 100k 24%
100k to 150k 24%
0 to 50k 22%
-50k to 0 13%
<-50k
10%
-50k to 0
13%
0 to 50k
22%
50k to 100k
24%
100k to 150k
24%
150k to 200k
9%
200k+
11%
50k to 100k 24%
100k to 150k 24%
0 to 50k 22%
-50k to 0 13%
<-50k
10%
-50k to 0
13%
0 to 50k
22%
50k to 100k
24%
100k to 150k
24%
150k to 200k
9%
200k+
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report, released September 4 and showing a 162,000 gain against economist expectations near 56,000, has created closely matched market-implied odds for September between the 0-50k and 100-150k ranges. This upside surprise, driven by rebounds in leisure and hospitality plus local government education after July's weakness, alongside an unchanged 4.1% unemployment rate and 0.3% monthly wage growth, underscores labor market resilience yet highlights seasonal distortions and potential reversion risks. Traders are weighing the three-month average near 71,000 against softer prior trends, upcoming September CPI, and FOMC decisions as key swing factors in a still-contested outlook.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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