Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent, including a 9-3 July 2026 vote holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid 3.5% headline CPI and core inflation near 2.6%. Persistent supply shocks from energy prices and Middle East tensions, alongside solid growth and stable unemployment, have fueled hawkish pushes for tighter policy. With the committee divided under new Chair Kevin Warsh and projections showing limited further easing, trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around two to four or more dissents at the December meeting. Key swing factors include the path of incoming CPI releases, September policy signals, and any shifts in the dot plot or labor-market data that could alter the balance between hawks and the majority favoring patience.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.1%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
2 24.1%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent, including a 9-3 July 2026 vote holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid 3.5% headline CPI and core inflation near 2.6%. Persistent supply shocks from energy prices and Middle East tensions, alongside solid growth and stable unemployment, have fueled hawkish pushes for tighter policy. With the committee divided under new Chair Kevin Warsh and projections showing limited further easing, trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around two to four or more dissents at the December meeting. Key swing factors include the path of incoming CPI releases, September policy signals, and any shifts in the dot plot or labor-market data that could alter the balance between hawks and the majority favoring patience.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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