Trader consensus on the Warsaw temperature market reflects near-even implied probabilities for 19°C versus 20°C because official forecast guidance shows a narrow envelope around this threshold. Latest model consensus from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm-air advection determine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 20°C. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 22–24°C, yet current synoptic patterns suppress values by several degrees; traders weigh the next observational updates and afternoon model runs against this residual uncertainty.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
19°C 56%
20°C 32%
18°C 9%
21°C 4%
$17,606 Vol.
$17,606 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
9%
19°C
56%
20°C
32%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 56%
20°C 32%
18°C 9%
21°C 4%
$17,606 Vol.
$17,606 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$654 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,183 Vol.
9%
19°C
$3,852 Vol.
56%
20°C
$2,632 Vol.
32%
21°C
$2,105 Vol.
4%
22°C
$1,299 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,114 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Warsaw temperature market reflects near-even implied probabilities for 19°C versus 20°C because official forecast guidance shows a narrow envelope around this threshold. Latest model consensus from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm-air advection determine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 20°C. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 22–24°C, yet current synoptic patterns suppress values by several degrees; traders weigh the next observational updates and afternoon model runs against this residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,606Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Warsaw temperature market reflects near-even implied probabilities for 19°C versus 20°C because official forecast guidance shows a narrow envelope around this threshold. Latest model consensus from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm-air advection determine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 20°C. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 22–24°C, yet current synoptic patterns suppress values by several degrees; traders weigh the next observational updates and afternoon model runs against this residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,606Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Warsaw temperature market reflects near-even implied probabilities for 19°C versus 20°C because official forecast guidance shows a narrow envelope around this threshold. Latest model consensus from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management and ECMWF highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or weak warm-air advection determine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 20°C. Historical August climatology for Warsaw places typical highs near 22–24°C, yet current synoptic patterns suppress values by several degrees; traders weigh the next observational updates and afternoon model runs against this residual uncertainty.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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