Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a daily maximum near 30–31 °C for Shenzhen on 21 August, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating below the month’s climatological average of ~32 °C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. With no strong steering flow or typhoon influence currently projected within the 48-hour window, surface temperatures are unlikely to reach the higher tail (>33 °C) or drop below 29 °C, aligning with the narrow distribution of market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 21?
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
25%
31°C
29%
32°C
17%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
25°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$405 Vol.
1%
27°C
$199 Vol.
2%
28°C
$191 Vol.
6%
29°C
$45 Vol.
14%
30°C
$259 Vol.
25%
31°C
$90 Vol.
29%
32°C
$73 Vol.
17%
33°C
$592 Vol.
8%
34°C
$273 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$253 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a daily maximum near 30–31 °C for Shenzhen on 21 August, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating below the month’s climatological average of ~32 °C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. With no strong steering flow or typhoon influence currently projected within the 48-hour window, surface temperatures are unlikely to reach the higher tail (>33 °C) or drop below 29 °C, aligning with the narrow distribution of market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,507Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a daily maximum near 30–31 °C for Shenzhen on 21 August, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating below the month’s climatological average of ~32 °C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. With no strong steering flow or typhoon influence currently projected within the 48-hour window, surface temperatures are unlikely to reach the higher tail (>33 °C) or drop below 29 °C, aligning with the narrow distribution of market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,507Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate a daily maximum near 30–31 °C for Shenzhen on 21 August, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating below the month’s climatological average of ~32 °C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. With no strong steering flow or typhoon influence currently projected within the 48-hour window, surface temperatures are unlikely to reach the higher tail (>33 °C) or drop below 29 °C, aligning with the narrow distribution of market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will further refine the precise peak value.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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