Recent KMA forecasts for August 16 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a 20% chance of precipitation and a projected daytime maximum near 33°C for the Seoul-Incheon area, though ensemble spread and coastal marine influence introduce notable uncertainty in peak values. Persistent humidity and weak steering flow limit daytime heating compared with the early-August heatwave, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 2–4°C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical August maxima average 30–31°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the most likely range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
30°C 25%
27°C 22%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
30°C 25%
27°C 22%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts for August 16 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a 20% chance of precipitation and a projected daytime maximum near 33°C for the Seoul-Incheon area, though ensemble spread and coastal marine influence introduce notable uncertainty in peak values. Persistent humidity and weak steering flow limit daytime heating compared with the early-August heatwave, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 2–4°C relative to clearer scenarios. Historical August maxima average 30–31°C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the most likely range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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