Traders assign the greatest probability to a 74-75°F peak in San Francisco today because the dominant Pacific marine layer and consistent onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating near seasonal norms. Morning fog and stratus clouds, reinforced by moderate northwest winds, suppress solar radiation and limit surface warming, while any temporary clearing could push readings slightly higher. The broad distribution across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and boundary-layer depth, with official National Weather Service observations at the downtown station serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range model guidance this afternoon will provide the final inputs for the daily maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
74-75°F 34%
72-73°F 22%
76-77°F 19%
70-71°F 13%
BAGO
$17,537 Vol.
BAGO
$17,537 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 34%
72-73°F 22%
76-77°F 19%
70-71°F 13%
BAGO
$17,537 Vol.
BAGO
$17,537 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
$981 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$742 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,462 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$2,094 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$1,961 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$1,555 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$1,427 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$2,329 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,591 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the greatest probability to a 74-75°F peak in San Francisco today because the dominant Pacific marine layer and consistent onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating near seasonal norms. Morning fog and stratus clouds, reinforced by moderate northwest winds, suppress solar radiation and limit surface warming, while any temporary clearing could push readings slightly higher. The broad distribution across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and boundary-layer depth, with official National Weather Service observations at the downtown station serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range model guidance this afternoon will provide the final inputs for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$17,537Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the greatest probability to a 74-75°F peak in San Francisco today because the dominant Pacific marine layer and consistent onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating near seasonal norms. Morning fog and stratus clouds, reinforced by moderate northwest winds, suppress solar radiation and limit surface warming, while any temporary clearing could push readings slightly higher. The broad distribution across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and boundary-layer depth, with official National Weather Service observations at the downtown station serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range model guidance this afternoon will provide the final inputs for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,537Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the greatest probability to a 74-75°F peak in San Francisco today because the dominant Pacific marine layer and consistent onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating near seasonal norms. Morning fog and stratus clouds, reinforced by moderate northwest winds, suppress solar radiation and limit surface warming, while any temporary clearing could push readings slightly higher. The broad distribution across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and boundary-layer depth, with official National Weather Service observations at the downtown station serving as the resolution source. Updated short-range model guidance this afternoon will provide the final inputs for the daily maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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