Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS data, positions a daily maximum near 31°C for Karachi on September 8, supporting the leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 14–17 mph, and moderate humidity around 65–75% are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with early September climatology of highs averaging 31–32°C. Shorter-range runs show tight clustering around 30–32°C, with low odds for 33°C or higher reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure buildup. Updated model outputs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
31°C 45%
32°C 28%
30°C 19%
28°C 16%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
45%
32°C
28%
33°C
12%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 45%
32°C 28%
30°C 19%
28°C 16%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
45%
32°C
28%
33°C
12%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS data, positions a daily maximum near 31°C for Karachi on September 8, supporting the leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 14–17 mph, and moderate humidity around 65–75% are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with early September climatology of highs averaging 31–32°C. Shorter-range runs show tight clustering around 30–32°C, with low odds for 33°C or higher reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure buildup. Updated model outputs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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