Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles show a northeasterly flow and mostly sunny conditions expected to limit Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 8 to the mid-20s°C range. Recent runs indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C, with limited moisture and moderate winds suppressing further warming compared to earlier September peaks. This consensus supports the market's heaviest positioning on 24°C, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ reflect the absence of warmer advection or clearer skies that would be needed to exceed that threshold. Updated short-range guidance and final observational data on the day will determine resolution against these model-derived expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 8?
24°C 56%
23°C 37%
22°C 36%
25°C 36%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
36%
23°C
37%
24°C
56%
25°C
36%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 56%
23°C 37%
22°C 36%
25°C 36%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
36%
23°C
37%
24°C
56%
25°C
36%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles show a northeasterly flow and mostly sunny conditions expected to limit Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 8 to the mid-20s°C range. Recent runs indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C, with limited moisture and moderate winds suppressing further warming compared to earlier September peaks. This consensus supports the market's heaviest positioning on 24°C, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ reflect the absence of warmer advection or clearer skies that would be needed to exceed that threshold. Updated short-range guidance and final observational data on the day will determine resolution against these model-derived expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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