**Current forecasts from Turkish meteorological services and international models show sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, suppressing strong daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C.** This aligns with the market's dominant 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, as light winds and clear skies favor modest warming above seasonal September averages of roughly 25–26°C. Recent model runs indicate limited moisture and stable high pressure, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 28°C (17.5% odds) or dropping to 26°C (6.5%). Hourly temperature observations throughout the afternoon will refine the final official reading, with any late-day shifts in wind or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust the outcome before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?
27°C 78%
28°C 14%
26°C 7%
29°C <1%
$10,055 Vol.
$10,055 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
78%
28°C
14%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 78%
28°C 14%
26°C 7%
29°C <1%
$10,055 Vol.
$10,055 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
78%
28°C
14%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Turkish meteorological services and international models show sunny conditions with moderate northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, suppressing strong daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C.** This aligns with the market's dominant 75.5% implied probability for 27°C, as light winds and clear skies favor modest warming above seasonal September averages of roughly 25–26°C. Recent model runs indicate limited moisture and stable high pressure, reducing the likelihood of exceeding 28°C (17.5% odds) or dropping to 26°C (6.5%). Hourly temperature observations throughout the afternoon will refine the final official reading, with any late-day shifts in wind or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust the outcome before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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