Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a frontal passage and increased monsoon moisture over the Front Range, sharply limiting afternoon heating after the early-August heat wave. These conditions—combined with possible wildfire smoke and cloud cover—support market-implied odds favoring a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, well below the 89°F early-August normal. Historical analogs show similar rapid cooldowns when a Pacific front interacts with upslope flow, while ensemble spread remains modest given the proximity to resolution. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing suppressed temperatures over persistence of hot, dry high pressure.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 9%
BAGO
$21,867 Vol.
BAGO
$21,867 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 9%
BAGO
$21,867 Vol.
BAGO
$21,867 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,670 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,618 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$1,368 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$4,299 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$5,415 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$1,319 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$1,821 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$905 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$485 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a frontal passage and increased monsoon moisture over the Front Range, sharply limiting afternoon heating after the early-August heat wave. These conditions—combined with possible wildfire smoke and cloud cover—support market-implied odds favoring a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, well below the 89°F early-August normal. Historical analogs show similar rapid cooldowns when a Pacific front interacts with upslope flow, while ensemble spread remains modest given the proximity to resolution. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing suppressed temperatures over persistence of hot, dry high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,867Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a frontal passage and increased monsoon moisture over the Front Range, sharply limiting afternoon heating after the early-August heat wave. These conditions—combined with possible wildfire smoke and cloud cover—support market-implied odds favoring a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, well below the 89°F early-August normal. Historical analogs show similar rapid cooldowns when a Pacific front interacts with upslope flow, while ensemble spread remains modest given the proximity to resolution. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing suppressed temperatures over persistence of hot, dry high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,867Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a frontal passage and increased monsoon moisture over the Front Range, sharply limiting afternoon heating after the early-August heat wave. These conditions—combined with possible wildfire smoke and cloud cover—support market-implied odds favoring a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, well below the 89°F early-August normal. Historical analogs show similar rapid cooldowns when a Pacific front interacts with upslope flow, while ensemble spread remains modest given the proximity to resolution. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing suppressed temperatures over persistence of hot, dry high pressure.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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