Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 3%
BAGO
$17,416 Vol.
BAGO
$17,416 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 3%
BAGO
$17,416 Vol.
BAGO
$17,416 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$533 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$476 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,512 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,978 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$2,703 Vol.
50%
86-87°F
$1,810 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$2,186 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,683 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$593 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$17,416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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