Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 101–102°F on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with south winds, aligning with the seasonal August average of 99°F and the ongoing Central Texas heat pattern. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations at stations like Camp Mabry support peak readings in the 100–101°F range, as afternoon heating peaks without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Heat index values near 105–108°F reflect high humidity, but the dry-bulb maximum determines market resolution. The 98–99°F and 102–103°F brackets trail due to narrower forecast spreads, while extremes remain improbable given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official daily observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on August 12?
100-101°F 63%
98-99°F 19%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 3%
$14,295 Vol.
$14,295 Vol.
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
63%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 63%
98-99°F 19%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 3%
$14,295 Vol.
$14,295 Vol.
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
63%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 101–102°F on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with south winds, aligning with the seasonal August average of 99°F and the ongoing Central Texas heat pattern. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations at stations like Camp Mabry support peak readings in the 100–101°F range, as afternoon heating peaks without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Heat index values near 105–108°F reflect high humidity, but the dry-bulb maximum determines market resolution. The 98–99°F and 102–103°F brackets trail due to narrower forecast spreads, while extremes remain improbable given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official daily observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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