Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure have positioned Ankara for a peak temperature near 29°C on September 5, driving the 77% market-implied probability for that outcome. Official forecasts from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and numerical models consistently project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region’s continental climate where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s°C absent major synoptic changes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. The 18% odds on 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming, while probabilities below 28°C or above 31°C remain under 1% given the current trajectory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
29°C 80%
30°C 17%
28°C 6%
31°C <1%
$20,098 Vol.
$20,098 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
80%
30°C
17%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 80%
30°C 17%
28°C 6%
31°C <1%
$20,098 Vol.
$20,098 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,607 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,063 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5,777 Vol.
80%
30°C
$3,262 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$592 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure have positioned Ankara for a peak temperature near 29°C on September 5, driving the 77% market-implied probability for that outcome. Official forecasts from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and numerical models consistently project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region’s continental climate where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s°C absent major synoptic changes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. The 18% odds on 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming, while probabilities below 28°C or above 31°C remain under 1% given the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,098Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure have positioned Ankara for a peak temperature near 29°C on September 5, driving the 77% market-implied probability for that outcome. Official forecasts from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and numerical models consistently project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region’s continental climate where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s°C absent major synoptic changes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. The 18% odds on 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming, while probabilities below 28°C or above 31°C remain under 1% given the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,098Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure have positioned Ankara for a peak temperature near 29°C on September 5, driving the 77% market-implied probability for that outcome. Official forecasts from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and numerical models consistently project afternoon highs of 28–30°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region’s continental climate where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s°C absent major synoptic changes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with negligible precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. The 18% odds on 30°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming, while probabilities below 28°C or above 31°C remain under 1% given the current trajectory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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