**Resilient U.S. economic growth, tight labor market conditions, and elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply shocks have shifted the FOMC’s rate path higher, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026.** June 2026 SEP projections lifted the median end-2026 funds rate to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, with nine of 19 participants now seeing at least one hike by year-end and inflation forecasts revised sharply upward to 3.6% PCE and 3.3% core PCE. The Fed held the target range at 3.50-3.75% in both June and July meetings amid dissent from three members favoring immediate tightening, while markets priced roughly 40-65 basis points of hikes through year-end. Upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any further geopolitical developments will remain key swing factors for the remainder of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
72% tsansa
$8,753,900 Vol.
$8,753,900 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
Oo
72% tsansa
$8,753,900 Vol.
$8,753,900 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Resilient U.S. economic growth, tight labor market conditions, and elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply shocks have shifted the FOMC’s rate path higher, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026.** June 2026 SEP projections lifted the median end-2026 funds rate to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, with nine of 19 participants now seeing at least one hike by year-end and inflation forecasts revised sharply upward to 3.6% PCE and 3.3% core PCE. The Fed held the target range at 3.50-3.75% in both June and July meetings amid dissent from three members favoring immediate tightening, while markets priced roughly 40-65 basis points of hikes through year-end. Upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any further geopolitical developments will remain key swing factors for the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$8,753,900Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Resilient U.S. economic growth, tight labor market conditions, and elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply shocks have shifted the FOMC’s rate path higher, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026.** June 2026 SEP projections lifted the median end-2026 funds rate to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, with nine of 19 participants now seeing at least one hike by year-end and inflation forecasts revised sharply upward to 3.6% PCE and 3.3% core PCE. The Fed held the target range at 3.50-3.75% in both June and July meetings amid dissent from three members favoring immediate tightening, while markets priced roughly 40-65 basis points of hikes through year-end. Upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any further geopolitical developments will remain key swing factors for the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,753,900Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Resilient U.S. economic growth, tight labor market conditions, and elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply shocks have shifted the FOMC’s rate path higher, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026.** June 2026 SEP projections lifted the median end-2026 funds rate to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, with nine of 19 participants now seeing at least one hike by year-end and inflation forecasts revised sharply upward to 3.6% PCE and 3.3% core PCE. The Fed held the target range at 3.50-3.75% in both June and July meetings amid dissent from three members favoring immediate tightening, while markets priced roughly 40-65 basis points of hikes through year-end. Upcoming data releases on inflation, employment, and any further geopolitical developments will remain key swing factors for the remainder of 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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