The Federal Reserve's institutional role in US monetary policy, combined with legal and procedural hurdles to its abolition, underpins the strong trader consensus against the outcome before 2027. No legislative proposals or executive actions advancing dissolution have advanced in Congress or the current administration in recent months, and historical patterns show central bank independence enjoys broad institutional support across parties. A short remaining window until the end of 2026 further limits realistic pathways, as any change would require sustained majorities for passage and implementation. Late-breaking developments such as an unprecedented financial crisis prompting radical reform legislation or a sudden shift in congressional priorities could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such events remain low-probability within the tight timeline.