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icon for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place
Halalan·Brazil

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place
Halalan·Brazil

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place

Renato Casagrande 87%

Fabiano Contarato 4.5%

Maguinha Malta 4.3%

Sergio Meneguelli 4.0%

Polymarket
BAGO

Renato Casagrande 87%

Fabiano Contarato 4.5%

Maguinha Malta 4.3%

Sergio Meneguelli 4.0%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Renato Casagrande

Renato Casagrande

$3,565 Vol.

87%

icon for Fabiano Contarato

Fabiano Contarato

$72 Vol.

5%

icon for Maguinha Malta

Maguinha Malta

$75 Vol.

4%

icon for Sergio Meneguelli

Sergio Meneguelli

$76 Vol.

4%

icon for Leonardo Monjardim

Leonardo Monjardim

$56 Vol.

4%

icon for Evair de Melo

Evair de Melo

$56 Vol.

4%

icon for Callegari

Callegari

$63 Vol.

3%

icon for Rose de Freitas

Rose de Freitas

$56 Vol.

3%

icon for Marcos do Val

Marcos do Val

$75 Vol.

3%

icon for Professor Fabian

Professor Fabian

$72 Vol.

3%

icon for Rodney Miranda

Rodney Miranda

$74 Vol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds a dominant position in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads of 24-32% in July 2026 surveys that place him well ahead of challengers. The former governor, who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat, benefits from high statewide name recognition and prior executive experience amid an election scheduled for October 4. Incumbent senators Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos) face re-election bids alongside other contenders including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD). Recent data shows the second-place contest remains fragmented, with no single rival closing the gap in tested scenarios. Market pricing aligns with this polling trajectory, reflecting the structural advantages of an established statewide figure in a contest for one of two seats.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,221
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds a dominant position in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads of 24-32% in July 2026 surveys that place him well ahead of challengers. The former governor, who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat, benefits from high statewide name recognition and prior executive experience amid an election scheduled for October 4. Incumbent senators Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos) face re-election bids alongside other contenders including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD). Recent data shows the second-place contest remains fragmented, with no single rival closing the gap in tested scenarios. Market pricing aligns with this polling trajectory, reflecting the structural advantages of an established statewide figure in a contest for one of two seats.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,221
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

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Will Evair de Melo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?

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icon for Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

21%
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Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Renato Casagrande" sa 87%, sinusundan ng "Fabiano Contarato" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 87¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 87% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" ay "Renato Casagrande" sa 87%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 87% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Fabiano Contarato" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.